James Ward - RIA Cowboy

Comment by John Dowdell - September 25, 2007 @ 2:46 pm

“If you develop with Flex 2 or the upcoming Flex 3, 93.3% of your visitors can run your applications without any hassle of having to update Flash.”

We can’t predict that. We can say that 93% of consumers tested could immediately view SWF9 files. But we have no knowledge of whether a particular developer is delivering to an audience which does not match general consumer norms.

(If you ask another company to make their own statistics, they probably will. But whether it measures the same thing would be a separate issue.)

Comment by James Ward - September 25, 2007 @ 2:57 pm

Thanks JD for clarifying. You are right that we can’t say your visitors match the general demographic. However, I have asked many enterprise software vendors to check our published stats against corporate environments where IT shops usually keep computers more locked down. From everything I’ve heard our published stats aren’t more than two percent off. Yet everyone should verify this kind of thing with their user base. Maybe your user base still uses green screens. Who knows?

Comment by John Dowdell - September 26, 2007 @ 4:42 am

Yes, general consumer norms are representative of general business norms on unlocked intranets, from the data I’ve seen. But “your visitors can run your applications” still contains an uncontrolled variable… for someone developing for a library system or for hospital kiosks they might have either 0% viewability or 100% viewability.

Pingback by 10,000 Monkeys - Harnessing the Power of Typing Monkeys : Silverlight Market Share - October 19, 2007 @ 1:15 am

[...] most commonly cited metric of Flash dominance in the marketplace is it’s 94% or so install base.  I think that number is essentially meaningless for several [...]

Comment by Mavizon - A2P - November 21, 2007 @ 1:56 pm

This is defiantly an increased statistic since last year this time… (55.8% in mature markets and 56.4% US/Canada) and I bet it’s has everything to do with the way Adobe handles their upgrades.